Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/11 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+70.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +31.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -8.4 | -1.3 | +11.6 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 24% | 32% | 25% | -1.1 | -3.0 | -1.7 | +5.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 18% | 22% | 32% | 28% | +15.8 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -15.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 29% | 22% | 30% | 19% | +4.6 | -8.1 | -0.6 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Uotani Yuumi | 32% | 16% | 30% | 22% | +9.8 | -1.9 | +0.6 | -8.4 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 41% | 15% | 28% | 15% | +31.5 | -29.1 | -2.0 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 72% | 3% | 18% | 8% | +7.6 | +0.4 | -9.2 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 80% | 2% | 11% | 7% | -2.4 | -3.9 | -3.2 | +9.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 81% | 2% | 8% | 10% | +2.3 | -6.0 | +7.5 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 0% | 9% | 7% | -1.9 | -4.1 | -19.2 | +25.3 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 86% | 0% | 0% | 14% | +13.7 | -1.9 | -3.0 | -8.9 |