Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/11 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+70.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 23% | 27% | 26% | -8.3 | +1.9 | +9.1 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 25% | 34% | 23% | -1.1 | -3.5 | -1.6 | +6.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 18% | 21% | 33% | 28% | +17.9 | +1.3 | -2.6 | -16.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 21% | 30% | 18% | -0.3 | -7.8 | +2.0 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,300 from Yuumi Uotani | 29% | 17% | 31% | 22% | +11.5 | -1.9 | -0.5 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 39% | 17% | 30% | 14% | +34.3 | -30.3 | -3.0 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 73% | 3% | 17% | 7% | +6.4 | +0.7 | -8.4 | +1.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 81% | 3% | 10% | 7% | -1.2 | -3.4 | -3.5 | +8.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 83% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 0.0 | -6.5 | +9.2 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 0% | 10% | 6% | -0.4 | -4.2 | -21.3 | +26.0 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 86% | 0% | 0% | 13% | +13.4 | -1.8 | -2.5 | -9.1 |