Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

1/11 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+62.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +25.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Takaharu Ooi● Hisato Sasaki● Sayaka Kayamori● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Takaharu● Hisato● Sayaka● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Sayaka Kayamori
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Sayaka Kayamori
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki26%24%26%25%-33.9+34.2-0.6+0.3
East 2Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki6%50%21%22%-11.9+0.2+12.7-1.1
East 3Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori4%49%28%19%+2.0-6.5+2.4+2.1
East 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,0004%43%31%23%-3.3-6.6+25.8-15.9
South 1Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki3%30%58%9%-10.7-2.4+13.6-0.5
South 2Exhaustive draw0%21%73%6%-0.9+4.7-2.9-0.8
South 2, 1 honbaHisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi0%25%69%6%+3.8-0.1-3.2-0.6
South 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,0000%26%68%6%-0.6-4.8+8.6-3.2
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%16%80%4%-2.1-2.5+0.2+4.4
South 4, 2 honbaSayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,2000%10%85%4%-2.3+5.2+5.0-7.9

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)