Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

1/11 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+62.0pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +27.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Ooi Takaharu● Sasaki Hisato● Kayamori Sayaka● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Ooi● Sasaki● Kayamori● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato26%26%25%24%-33.1+32.6-1.0+1.4
East 2Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato7%51%20%22%-13.3-1.7+16.9-1.8
East 3Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka4%46%31%19%+5.2-3.7-2.2+0.7
East 4Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,0005%44%29%21%-6.3-6.2+27.4-14.9
South 1Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato2%32%58%9%-11.1-4.8+14.4+1.4
South 2Draw0%18%76%6%-0.1+5.3-2.9-2.3
South 2, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu0%24%71%5%+4.10.0-3.6-0.6
South 3Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,0000%25%70%6%-0.8-3.7+6.8-2.4
South 3, 1 honbaDraw0%16%79%4%-2.6-3.2+1.6+4.3
South 4, 2 honbaKayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,2000%10%86%4%-2.0+5.6+4.6-8.1

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)