Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/14 Game 1
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+67.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 27% | 25% | 25% | -11.2 | +18.0 | -3.4 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 40% | 21% | 23% | -13.4 | +32.3 | -11.2 | -7.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,000 from Yudai Maehara | 7% | 70% | 11% | 13% | +6.3 | -2.8 | +0.5 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 9% | 69% | 11% | 11% | +34.6 | -29.6 | -4.5 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 35% | 39% | 11% | 15% | +1.3 | +7.8 | +1.3 | -10.4 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 46% | 12% | 8% | -14.7 | -5.8 | +26.5 | -6.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 42% | 28% | 7% | -3.7 | +7.0 | -2.0 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 18% | 49% | 26% | 6% | -1.6 | +11.3 | -2.5 | -7.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 14% | 62% | 20% | 4% | +0.1 | +26.9 | -30.1 | +3.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 92% | 3% | 2% | +6.1 | -1.6 | -3.5 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 93% | 2% | 1% | +0.6 | +1.7 | -5.0 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 97% | 0% | 2% | +1.3 | -0.1 | +12.2 | -13.3 |