Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/14 Game 1
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+67.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -14.1 | +20.8 | -3.3 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 39% | 23% | 23% | -8.8 | +32.4 | -11.4 | -12.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Maehara Yudai | 8% | 69% | 11% | 12% | +4.6 | -2.4 | +0.4 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 9% | 69% | 11% | 11% | +31.4 | -28.2 | -4.2 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 32% | 40% | 13% | 16% | +3.0 | +8.6 | -1.2 | -10.4 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 47% | 11% | 8% | -14.2 | -8.4 | +29.9 | -7.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 22% | 40% | 31% | 7% | -3.9 | +9.0 | -4.1 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 18% | 50% | 25% | 7% | -1.7 | +11.1 | -1.5 | -7.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 12% | 64% | 20% | 4% | +2.2 | +25.7 | -32.6 | +4.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 4% | 91% | 3% | 2% | +4.7 | -0.8 | -1.8 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 4% | 93% | 2% | 1% | +0.8 | +1.4 | -4.3 | +2.1 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 98% | 0% | 1% | +1.2 | -0.2 | +11.7 | -12.7 |