Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +30.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +0.6 | -0.9 | -3.7 | +3.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 22% | 28% | -0.1 | -1.8 | +0.8 | +1.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 25% | 21% | 24% | 30% | -2.5 | +7.3 | -1.0 | -3.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 28% | 23% | 28% | +4.9 | -5.9 | +2.0 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +28.0 | +0.5 | -2.2 | -26.3 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 50% | 20% | 19% | 11% | -0.7 | -0.7 | +23.4 | -22.0 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 47% | 17% | 34% | 2% | -12.6 | +11.4 | +1.2 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 25% | 37% | 3% | +10.3 | -7.6 | -3.1 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 47% | 18% | 33% | 3% | -1.2 | +30.3 | -27.8 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 49% | 7% | 2% | +30.5 | -18.6 | -5.0 | -6.8 |