Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/14 Game 2
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +3.5 | -2.5 | -4.0 | +3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 23% | 23% | 28% | -3.6 | +1.6 | +1.1 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 24% | 22% | 30% | -1.3 | +5.9 | -2.9 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 24% | 27% | 21% | 28% | +2.9 | -6.9 | +6.2 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 26% | 22% | 25% | 26% | +28.2 | +2.2 | -4.9 | -25.4 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 50% | 20% | 18% | 12% | +1.0 | -2.9 | +24.0 | -22.1 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 47% | 16% | 34% | 3% | -14.5 | +13.0 | +1.8 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 32% | 27% | 38% | 3% | +10.0 | -6.5 | -3.4 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 44% | 20% | 32% | 4% | -0.7 | +28.1 | -25.9 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000 | 39% | 49% | 9% | 3% | +31.6 | -18.1 | -6.8 | -6.7 |