Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/15 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +49.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -0.5 | -2.5 | +4.0 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 5,800 from Koshin Asakura | 26% | 22% | 27% | 25% | +18.1 | -15.9 | -0.5 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 40% | 13% | 25% | 22% | -37.1 | -1.0 | -1.3 | +39.4 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 11% | 12% | 23% | 54% | -26.8 | +30.6 | -1.5 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 3% | 27% | 20% | 50% | -5.8 | +9.3 | -1.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 5,800 from Seiichi Kondo | 3% | 33% | 19% | 45% | -1.0 | +17.1 | +1.0 | -17.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 50% | 18% | 29% | +0.1 | -6.4 | +6.9 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 44% | 23% | 29% | +21.3 | 0.0 | -17.0 | -4.3 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 7% | 50% | 14% | 29% | +22.3 | +2.3 | +1.7 | -26.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 54% | 16% | 13% | -6.7 | +9.3 | -3.6 | +1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 67% | 11% | 12% | -6.8 | -5.2 | -8.2 | +20.1 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 62% | 11% | 21% | -15.0 | -19.6 | +49.9 | -15.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 3% | 33% | 49% | 15% | +5.9 | -7.1 | +31.8 | -30.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 8% | 89% | 2% | +5.1 | -1.6 | +0.2 | -3.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 4% | 94% | 2% | -19.3 | -8.7 | -6.1 | +34.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 3% | 90% | 7% | -4.5 | +4.2 | +10.0 | -9.7 |