Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/15 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +50.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 27% | 26% | 23% | +3.0 | -4.7 | +3.6 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Asakura Koshin | 27% | 23% | 26% | 24% | +16.7 | -16.5 | +0.5 | -0.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 38% | 14% | 27% | 22% | -36.3 | +0.7 | -3.0 | +38.6 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 13% | 13% | 22% | 53% | -26.9 | +29.9 | -0.2 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 4% | 27% | 22% | 46% | -5.3 | +8.1 | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Kondo Seiichi | 3% | 32% | 19% | 46% | -0.3 | +15.9 | +0.3 | -15.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 49% | 20% | 29% | -1.9 | -4.4 | +7.0 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 45% | 23% | 30% | +22.8 | -0.4 | -16.7 | -5.6 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 8% | 48% | 15% | 28% | +20.6 | +1.6 | +0.6 | -22.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 17% | 53% | 16% | 14% | -5.8 | +9.9 | -0.7 | -3.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 65% | 14% | 11% | -6.7 | -5.7 | -9.0 | +21.5 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 61% | 11% | 21% | -14.9 | -18.5 | +50.5 | -17.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 3% | 32% | 52% | 13% | +6.2 | -7.2 | +30.1 | -29.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 9% | 89% | 2% | +4.2 | -1.2 | -0.2 | -2.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 5% | 94% | 2% | -19.0 | -9.7 | -5.4 | +34.1 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 2% | 90% | 7% | -4.6 | +5.0 | +9.5 | -9.9 |