Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/15 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +45.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -2.0 | -2.3 | +6.2 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | -1.3 | +35.9 | -32.0 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 51% | 9% | 21% | +9.0 | -4.7 | -2.8 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 46% | 10% | 19% | +7.7 | +1.1 | -5.9 | -2.9 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 31% | 46% | 6% | 17% | +11.0 | +2.2 | -1.3 | -11.8 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 48% | 4% | 9% | -14.1 | +0.5 | +21.6 | -8.0 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 26% | 52% | 13% | 9% | +17.4 | -2.9 | -15.0 | +0.5 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 43% | 45% | 6% | 6% | +0.6 | -0.7 | +5.4 | -5.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 44% | 44% | 6% | 6% | -5.4 | -3.4 | +31.6 | -22.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 40% | 21% | 2% | -20.0 | -21.4 | +47.0 | -5.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 11% | 10% | 78% | 1% | +16.5 | -8.0 | -1.9 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 18% | 6% | 76% | 0% | +45.4 | -6.4 | -37.3 | -1.7 |