Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/15 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +46.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -3.7 | -2.4 | +5.8 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 21% | 23% | 30% | 26% | -2.0 | +37.5 | -34.8 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 18% | 51% | 9% | 22% | +9.9 | -4.1 | -2.7 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 24% | 48% | 8% | 20% | +9.9 | -0.1 | -6.3 | -3.5 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 31% | 46% | 5% | 18% | +10.1 | +2.3 | +0.2 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 49% | 4% | 9% | -15.7 | -0.3 | +22.8 | -6.7 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 25% | 54% | 13% | 8% | +20.1 | -2.9 | -17.2 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 44% | 45% | 5% | 6% | -0.3 | -0.4 | +8.2 | -7.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 44% | 44% | 7% | 5% | -4.8 | -3.5 | +30.4 | -22.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 38% | 23% | 1% | -20.4 | -21.0 | +46.0 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 11% | 11% | 78% | 0% | +15.3 | -8.4 | -0.9 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 17% | 5% | 78% | 0% | +46.3 | -6.1 | -38.0 | -2.1 |