Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/17 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -12.9 | -5.6 | -4.4 | +23.0 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 16% | 22% | 20% | 43% | +33.1 | -32.3 | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 38% | 6% | 17% | 39% | +5.4 | -1.6 | -4.6 | +0.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 43% | 5% | 14% | 39% | -0.2 | -2.1 | +8.1 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 44% | 5% | 17% | 34% | -20.0 | -3.3 | +21.3 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 4% | 35% | 37% | -1.8 | -10.8 | +16.6 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,400 from Takizawa Kazunori | 19% | 0% | 53% | 28% | +1.2 | +0.5 | +6.7 | -8.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 17% | 0% | 63% | 20% | +28.1 | +0.3 | -6.0 | -22.4 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 45% | 0% | 50% | 6% | +26.8 | -0.5 | -21.9 | -4.4 |