Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/17 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -15.1 | -5.7 | -4.5 | +25.4 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 16% | 19% | 20% | 46% | +32.9 | -30.5 | +1.0 | -3.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 5% | 19% | 40% | +6.9 | -1.3 | -4.7 | -0.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 5% | 14% | 37% | -0.8 | -3.4 | +8.6 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 43% | 4% | 19% | 34% | -18.0 | -2.4 | +19.9 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 4% | 36% | 35% | -3.8 | -10.7 | +14.5 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,400 from Kazunori Takizawa | 19% | 0% | 50% | 31% | +1.2 | +0.6 | +8.5 | -10.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 17% | 0% | 63% | 20% | +26.2 | -0.2 | -3.8 | -22.2 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 41% | 0% | 54% | 6% | +29.0 | -0.1 | -23.8 | -5.1 |