Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/18 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+72.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 18,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +44.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 22% | 25% | 27% | -13.7 | -1.2 | +20.7 | -5.8 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 20% | 40% | 23% | -1.9 | -15.1 | -5.3 | +22.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 12% | 35% | 38% | -1.7 | -1.1 | +5.8 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 14% | 11% | 40% | 35% | +2.8 | -1.4 | +1.2 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 11% | 42% | 34% | +25.1 | -6.7 | -6.6 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 18,000 | 32% | 9% | 36% | 24% | +48.3 | -11.1 | -20.9 | -16.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 82% | 3% | 9% | 7% | -1.2 | -7.3 | +8.6 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 81% | 1% | 11% | 7% | +0.8 | -6.4 | +2.4 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 18,000 from Sho Shiratori | 85% | 0% | 10% | 6% | -19.4 | -21.5 | +44.8 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 38% | 0% | 58% | 3% | -20.8 | +10.2 | +10.2 | +0.4 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 0% | 87% | 4% | -2.8 | -1.6 | +10.9 | -6.5 |