Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/18 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+72.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 18,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +46.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 26% | 24% | 23% | -14.3 | -6.1 | +22.6 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 20% | 41% | 21% | -5.2 | -10.7 | -6.8 | +22.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 14% | 14% | 34% | 38% | -0.8 | -5.2 | +7.8 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 11% | 41% | 35% | +4.7 | -0.2 | -1.7 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 11% | 40% | 34% | +24.2 | -6.8 | -5.0 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000 | 31% | 9% | 36% | 24% | +47.7 | -11.5 | -20.0 | -16.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 81% | 2% | 9% | 7% | -0.5 | -6.1 | +7.2 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 82% | 2% | 10% | 6% | +0.1 | -6.5 | +2.2 | +4.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 18,000 from Shiratori Sho | 84% | 0% | 10% | 6% | -20.0 | -22.0 | +46.6 | -4.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 37% | 0% | 60% | 3% | -20.0 | +10.1 | +9.4 | +0.4 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 0% | 88% | 3% | -2.8 | -1.6 | +10.6 | -6.1 |