Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/18 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+55.3pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +50.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -3.6 | -1.0 | +1.3 | +3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -2.4 | +7.8 | -1.3 | -4.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 22% | 29% | 24% | 25% | -2.1 | -46.5 | -1.6 | +50.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 13% | 4% | 16% | 67% | -3.2 | -1.6 | +6.2 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 4% | 19% | 65% | -2.1 | +3.0 | -6.3 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,800 from Setokuma Naoki | 11% | 4% | 13% | 72% | -14.9 | +2.8 | -0.9 | +13.0 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 4% | 3% | 8% | 85% | -3.1 | +10.5 | +1.3 | -8.7 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 4% | 5% | 11% | 81% | -4.6 | -2.2 | +28.2 | -21.4 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 7% | 38% | 53% | +11.0 | -16.3 | -0.4 | +5.7 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 4% | 0% | 34% | 62% | -1.2 | -1.9 | -7.8 | +10.8 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 0% | 16% | 84% | -19.4 | +23.2 | -6.8 | +3.0 |