Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/21 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+53.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +30.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +5.4 | +0.4 | -7.9 | +2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 25% | 22% | 26% | -9.2 | +16.3 | -6.0 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 38% | 17% | 24% | -2.3 | -1.5 | +7.0 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 35% | 22% | 23% | -7.3 | -7.8 | +19.9 | -4.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 16% | 29% | 35% | 20% | -17.3 | -2.0 | +19.0 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 8% | 24% | 51% | 17% | -1.0 | -2.5 | +6.6 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 20% | 58% | 16% | +4.8 | -1.2 | -1.9 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 7% | 21% | 57% | 15% | +23.1 | +2.2 | -20.6 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 27% | 39% | 14% | -3.4 | +14.9 | -11.3 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,000 | 18% | 40% | 28% | 14% | -7.0 | +18.6 | -6.3 | -5.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 61% | 19% | 11% | -8.5 | -13.2 | +30.5 | -8.7 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 5% | 41% | 48% | 7% | -23.5 | +0.1 | +1.2 | +22.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 36% | 52% | 12% | +0.6 | -13.1 | +21.8 | -9.3 |