Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

1/21 Game 2

Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+52.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +39.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Taro Suzuki● Masato Hagiwara● Koshin Asakura● Kazunori Takizawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Taro● Masato● Koshin● Kazunori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
East 1Koshin Asakura ron 3,200 from Masato Hagiwara26%22%26%26%-11.7+14.8-4.4+1.3
East 2Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa17%35%22%26%+15.1-1.4+0.3-14.0
East 3Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara28%32%23%17%-11.0-2.5-5.0+18.5
East 4Exhaustive draw21%30%19%30%+4.1+3.1-8.0+0.8
East 4, 1 honbaKoshin Asakura tsumo 2,00022%33%15%29%-5.9+12.0-1.2-4.9
South 1Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,00018%45%14%23%-22.4-9.6+39.5-7.5
South 2Exhaustive draw6%33%42%20%-3.9-4.8+14.5-5.7
South 3, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara3%22%61%14%-7.9-0.1+4.5+3.5
South 4Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,0000%16%72%13%+25.4-3.7+11.3-33.0

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)