Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

1/22 Game 1

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+73.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +41.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Ooi Takaharu● Ishibashi Nobuhiro● Uotani Yuumi● Murakami Jun0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Ishibashi● Uotani● Murakami
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOoi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Ishibashi Nobuhiro
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Murakami Jun
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Ishibashi Nobuhiro
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Murakami Jun
Expected pt change
East 1Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu27%24%24%24%-13.0+10.9+1.1+1.0
East 2Draw18%32%24%26%-3.4+7.8-0.9-3.5
East 2, 1 honbaMurakami Jun tsumo 4,00016%38%24%23%-5.3-6.6-4.8+16.7
East 3Draw13%32%20%35%+7.3-0.9-5.0-1.4
East 4, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 12,00016%31%17%36%+41.4-11.4-8.2-21.8
South 1Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,00050%20%12%17%+19.1-7.1-4.7-7.4
South 1, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 18,00071%12%7%10%+30.1-10.1-8.9-11.1
South 1, 2 honbaDraw96%2%1%1%+1.0-1.9+3.5-2.6
South 1, 3 honbaIshibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 6,40096%2%1%1%-4.8+15.2-4.8-5.6
South 2Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 6,00094%3%1%1%-3.1+11.8-4.0-4.6
South 2, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi92%6%1%1%+4.2-1.9-3.4+1.1
South 3Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,00098%1%1%1%-1.7+11.2-10.6+1.1
South 4Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,00098%2%0%1%0.0+5.7-5.70.0

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)