Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/22 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+73.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +41.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -13.4 | +10.4 | +1.0 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 32% | 25% | 26% | -3.1 | +7.6 | -1.5 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 38% | 24% | 24% | -4.8 | -5.9 | -6.2 | +16.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 32% | 19% | 37% | +8.3 | -0.7 | -3.7 | -3.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 31% | 17% | 34% | +41.7 | -12.3 | -9.3 | -20.0 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 51% | 20% | 12% | 17% | +19.2 | -6.6 | -3.7 | -8.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 72% | 12% | 8% | 8% | +29.0 | -10.1 | -9.7 | -9.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 96% | 2% | 1% | 1% | +1.7 | -3.2 | +4.5 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 6,400 | 96% | 2% | 1% | 1% | -4.7 | +16.3 | -4.7 | -7.0 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 6,000 | 95% | 3% | 1% | 1% | -3.6 | +10.4 | -4.4 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 92% | 5% | 2% | 1% | +4.3 | -1.2 | -3.4 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 98% | 1% | 1% | 1% | -1.7 | +12.1 | -10.1 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 4,000 | 98% | 2% | 0% | 0% | -0.1 | +5.0 | -6.2 | +1.3 |