Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/24 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,900 from Yudai Maehara | 28% | 23% | 24% | 25% | +7.3 | -3.5 | -5.8 | +2.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 32% | 22% | 21% | 25% | -2.4 | -0.7 | +9.0 | -6.0 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 30% | 21% | 27% | 22% | -1.5 | -2.8 | +0.6 | +3.7 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 29% | 18% | 28% | 25% | +5.4 | +2.6 | -5.7 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 34% | 20% | 23% | 23% | +25.0 | -1.9 | +0.2 | -23.4 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Yudai Maehara | 58% | 16% | 19% | 8% | +0.9 | +16.0 | -16.6 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 23% | 9% | 7% | -20.2 | +36.7 | -7.9 | -8.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 65% | 5% | 4% | +0.1 | -1.4 | +5.2 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 67% | 6% | 3% | -7.2 | +16.6 | -5.9 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 93% | 0% | 2% | -23.8 | +0.4 | +36.7 | -13.3 |