Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/24 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Maehara Yudai | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +11.4 | -2.8 | -8.2 | -0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 33% | 22% | 19% | 25% | -4.6 | +1.1 | +9.6 | -6.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,100 | 29% | 24% | 24% | 23% | +0.6 | -5.6 | +2.0 | +3.0 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100 | 30% | 20% | 27% | 24% | +3.7 | +1.4 | -5.0 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 33% | 21% | 21% | 25% | +26.7 | -0.7 | +0.8 | -26.8 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Maehara Yudai | 60% | 15% | 18% | 8% | -0.9 | +15.8 | -16.0 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 23% | 10% | 7% | -19.0 | +36.6 | -9.8 | -7.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 65% | 5% | 4% | -1.5 | -0.6 | +6.9 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 68% | 6% | 4% | -5.9 | +16.3 | -6.7 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 93% | 0% | 2% | -23.8 | 0.0 | +36.8 | -13.0 |