Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/24 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 26% | 23% | 24% | +30.3 | -8.9 | -9.3 | -12.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 1,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 51% | 16% | 17% | 16% | -2.5 | -1.7 | +0.5 | +3.6 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 50% | 16% | 17% | 18% | +18.6 | -19.6 | +1.0 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 5,200 | 68% | 5% | 13% | 14% | -1.2 | -6.1 | -11.1 | +18.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 4% | 7% | 23% | -0.7 | -3.8 | +4.9 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 66% | 3% | 9% | 22% | +8.2 | -4.1 | 0.0 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 77% | 2% | 7% | 14% | -6.1 | +13.1 | -5.5 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma | 75% | 4% | 6% | 15% | +3.5 | -6.7 | -0.2 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 1,500 | 81% | 0% | 6% | 14% | +7.4 | -2.3 | -7.2 | +2.1 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | -5.2 | -1.1 | -0.8 | +7.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Yudai Maehara | 86% | 0% | 0% | 14% | +5.2 | -5.0 | +6.7 | -6.8 |