Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/24 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +34.1 | -11.4 | -10.1 | -12.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 1,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 52% | 17% | 16% | 16% | -4.9 | -0.5 | -0.7 | +6.1 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 47% | 16% | 17% | 20% | +20.7 | -21.3 | +0.8 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 5,200 | 68% | 5% | 12% | 14% | -0.5 | -4.0 | -9.1 | +13.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 68% | 4% | 7% | 20% | -3.5 | -2.7 | +4.0 | +2.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 65% | 4% | 9% | 23% | +10.0 | -7.2 | +0.2 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 76% | 3% | 7% | 15% | -6.3 | +13.6 | -5.2 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 74% | 5% | 7% | 15% | +4.2 | -6.3 | -1.6 | +3.8 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 1,500 | 81% | 0% | 6% | 13% | +7.8 | -3.1 | -5.6 | +0.9 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | -7.4 | -0.4 | -0.7 | +8.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Maehara Yudai | 85% | 0% | 0% | 15% | +6.3 | -5.1 | +6.2 | -7.4 |