Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/25 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -22.8 | +24.2 | +0.5 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 43% | 24% | 21% | +0.2 | -6.5 | +6.0 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 37% | 27% | 23% | +1.1 | -3.5 | +3.5 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 34% | 30% | 24% | +5.1 | -2.3 | +0.7 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 33% | 31% | 21% | +32.1 | -8.2 | -15.0 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 37% | 25% | 20% | 18% | -0.1 | -32.0 | -2.8 | +34.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 9% | 17% | 39% | -2.6 | +1.8 | -5.6 | +6.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 9% | 14% | 46% | -3.7 | -3.0 | -0.7 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 7% | 13% | 53% | -3.1 | -1.6 | -3.4 | +8.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 23% | 6% | 10% | 61% | -11.5 | -0.7 | +0.2 | +12.0 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 5% | 8% | 75% | -2.0 | -0.1 | -1.3 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 16,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 11% | 4% | 7% | 78% | -1.9 | +50.9 | -3.3 | -45.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 40% | 12% | 32% | -6.8 | +5.5 | +3.5 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 12% | 45% | 13% | 30% | -1.2 | -18.2 | -6.1 | +25.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 21% | 9% | 60% | -3.3 | +2.5 | -9.4 | +10.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 6% | 15% | 2% | 78% | +27.4 | -26.2 | -8.9 | +7.7 |