Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/25 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -22.4 | +22.9 | -2.2 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 41% | 22% | 25% | -1.8 | -3.7 | +7.7 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 37% | 28% | 23% | +2.4 | -1.6 | +1.3 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 12% | 37% | 29% | 22% | +5.1 | -5.3 | +2.7 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 32% | 32% | 21% | +33.8 | -8.3 | -17.5 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 39% | 26% | 18% | 17% | +0.3 | -32.1 | -1.9 | +33.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 37% | 9% | 17% | 37% | -7.1 | +3.5 | -3.5 | +7.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 30% | 9% | 15% | 46% | -1.4 | -3.7 | -1.2 | +6.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 28% | 8% | 13% | 52% | -3.9 | -0.9 | -4.7 | +9.5 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 22% | 7% | 9% | 62% | -10.3 | -1.7 | +0.5 | +11.6 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Draw | 14% | 5% | 7% | 75% | -3.5 | -0.3 | -0.4 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 11% | 5% | 6% | 79% | +0.2 | +50.1 | -3.1 | -47.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 19% | 39% | 11% | 31% | -9.3 | +5.6 | +4.2 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 12% | 43% | 14% | 32% | -1.0 | -17.9 | -6.9 | +25.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 9% | 20% | 10% | 61% | -4.2 | +3.5 | -8.1 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 6% | 16% | 2% | 77% | +28.8 | -26.9 | -10.4 | +8.4 |