Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

1/25 Game 1

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +33.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4East 4End● Ooi Takaharu● Nikaido Aki● Kayamori Sayaka● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Ooi● Nikaido● Kayamori● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
East 1Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki25%25%26%24%-22.4+22.9-2.2+1.6
East 2Draw12%41%22%25%-1.8-3.7+7.7-2.2
East 3, 1 honbaDraw12%37%28%23%+2.4-1.6+1.3-2.1
East 3, 2 honbaDraw12%37%29%22%+5.1-5.3+2.7-2.5
East 3, 3 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 8,00015%32%32%21%+33.8-8.3-17.5-7.9
East 4Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka39%26%18%17%+0.3-32.1-1.9+33.7
East 4, 1 honbaDraw37%9%17%37%-7.1+3.5-3.5+7.1
East 4, 2 honbaDraw30%9%15%46%-1.4-3.7-1.2+6.4
East 4, 3 honbaDraw28%8%13%52%-3.9-0.9-4.7+9.5
East 4, 4 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki22%7%9%62%-10.3-1.7+0.5+11.6
East 4, 5 honbaDraw14%5%7%75%-3.5-0.3-0.4+4.1
East 4, 6 honbaKayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Ooi Takaharu11%5%6%79%+0.2+50.1-3.1-47.2
South 1Draw19%39%11%31%-9.3+5.6+4.2-0.5
South 2, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka12%43%14%32%-1.0-17.9-6.9+25.8
South 3Draw9%20%10%61%-4.2+3.5-8.1+8.7
South 4, 1 honbaNikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka6%16%2%77%+28.8-26.9-10.4+8.4

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)