Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/25 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+63.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +52.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 27% | 24% | +2.6 | -3.6 | +2.7 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 23% | 27% | 23% | -3.0 | +10.0 | -2.2 | -4.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 30% | 26% | 20% | +1.1 | +4.2 | -3.4 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 32% | 24% | 19% | +0.9 | -5.0 | +9.4 | -5.2 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 27% | 31% | 16% | -2.8 | +0.1 | +9.4 | -6.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 22% | 27% | 38% | 13% | -20.2 | +24.9 | -3.2 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 49% | 30% | 11% | -14.7 | -17.8 | -20.0 | +52.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 31% | 17% | 47% | -1.0 | -4.4 | -3.6 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,700 | 6% | 24% | 14% | 56% | -3.1 | +15.6 | -5.2 | -7.2 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 38% | 12% | 46% | -15.2 | -12.5 | +33.5 | -5.8 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 1% | 26% | 33% | 40% | +2.7 | -10.8 | +1.5 | +6.6 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 17% | 33% | 50% | -3.9 | -11.4 | -17.0 | +32.3 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 1% | 2% | 97% | +8.0 | -12.9 | +5.0 | -0.2 |