Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/28 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -0.2 | -1.8 | +19.7 | -17.6 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 22% | 41% | 15% | -6.0 | -10.6 | +24.1 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 12% | 65% | 9% | +11.3 | -3.1 | -4.6 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 11% | 61% | 7% | +10.9 | -2.8 | -0.6 | -7.5 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 28% | 8% | 60% | 4% | +15.2 | -9.8 | -4.5 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 5% | 49% | 4% | -5.9 | -4.3 | +1.4 | +8.8 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 6,400 from Maehara Yudai | 36% | 5% | 54% | 5% | -3.2 | -0.5 | +17.5 | -13.7 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 21% | 0% | 77% | 2% | +34.4 | +1.8 | -33.8 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 84% | 0% | 15% | 1% | +3.9 | -2.0 | -3.3 | +1.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 18,000 | 88% | 0% | 10% | 1% | -12.3 | -21.1 | -13.0 | +46.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 1,100 | 78% | 0% | 8% | 15% | +11.3 | 0.0 | +3.4 | -14.7 |