Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/28 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+58.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -1.5 | +0.4 | +22.8 | -21.7 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 24% | 41% | 14% | -3.8 | -14.9 | +23.9 | -5.2 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 11% | 64% | 9% | +10.3 | -2.2 | -5.2 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 11% | 59% | 8% | +9.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -8.8 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 27% | 10% | 58% | 5% | +16.7 | -13.2 | -2.6 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 4% | 51% | 3% | -6.1 | -3.7 | +0.4 | +9.3 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 6,400 from Yudai Maehara | 36% | 4% | 54% | 5% | -4.0 | 0.0 | +17.7 | -13.8 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 20% | 0% | 78% | 1% | +35.8 | +2.3 | -34.8 | -3.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 0% | 14% | 1% | +3.4 | -2.4 | -3.2 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 18,000 | 89% | 0% | 10% | 1% | -13.8 | -20.8 | -12.2 | +46.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 1,100 | 76% | 0% | 9% | 15% | +12.7 | -0.2 | +2.9 | -15.4 |