Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/28 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kurosawa Saki ron 18,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +57.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -16.1 | -0.9 | +14.8 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 15% | 24% | 35% | 26% | +24.7 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -23.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 30% | 22% | 34% | 13% | -5.7 | +0.5 | +3.2 | +2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 37% | 14% | -4.9 | -3.6 | -13.1 | +21.6 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 21% | 27% | 27% | -25.9 | +25.6 | +1.8 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 18,000 from Asakura Koshin | 10% | 41% | 26% | 23% | +57.3 | -55.2 | -1.9 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,400 from Asakura Koshin | 50% | 7% | 22% | 22% | +10.3 | -8.4 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 60% | 3% | 18% | 18% | +4.8 | 0.0 | -2.5 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,900 from Nikaido Aki | 65% | 4% | 16% | 15% | +9.8 | -0.5 | +0.9 | -10.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,700 | 77% | 3% | 13% | 8% | -3.5 | -5.1 | +11.8 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 73% | 2% | 18% | 7% | 0.0 | -8.1 | -4.4 | +12.4 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 76% | 0% | 14% | 11% | +3.2 | -1.4 | -11.5 | +9.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 84% | 0% | 3% | 13% | +6.8 | +2.4 | -10.4 | +1.2 |