Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/29 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +61.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +9.4 | -3.3 | -2.5 | -3.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 31% | 24% | 22% | 23% | -12.8 | -2.8 | +15.0 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 22% | 21% | 33% | 24% | +1.5 | -22.0 | -2.8 | +23.3 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Takizawa Kazunori | 22% | 9% | 28% | 41% | -0.3 | -2.4 | +4.2 | -1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 8% | 31% | 39% | -9.5 | +36.5 | -18.0 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 30% | 19% | 34% | -5.9 | +24.6 | -6.1 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 53% | 14% | 21% | -11.9 | +1.1 | +11.0 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 55% | 19% | 20% | -4.1 | +21.5 | -7.0 | -10.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 80% | 10% | 9% | -5.9 | +11.1 | -2.8 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 89% | 5% | 5% | -6.4 | -6.6 | -9.1 | +22.2 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 86% | 4% | 10% | -3.3 | -7.6 | +10.6 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 77% | 8% | 15% | -9.2 | -31.1 | +61.3 | -21.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 21% | 73% | 6% | -10.4 | +30.7 | -18.6 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 66% | 30% | 4% | +0.3 | -25.5 | +32.0 | -6.7 |