Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/29 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +60.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +5.5 | -1.8 | -4.5 | +0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 29% | 23% | 22% | 25% | -9.9 | -1.5 | +14.8 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 21% | 23% | 32% | 23% | -0.6 | -25.5 | -0.4 | +26.5 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Kazunori Takizawa | 20% | 8% | 29% | 43% | +1.0 | -2.2 | +5.0 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 7% | 35% | 39% | -8.9 | +35.4 | -19.4 | -7.0 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 27% | 20% | 36% | -7.0 | +27.9 | -6.1 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,700 | 11% | 54% | 15% | 20% | -10.9 | +1.0 | +11.5 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 55% | 21% | 18% | -4.4 | +20.3 | -8.6 | -7.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 80% | 9% | 9% | -5.2 | +12.2 | -3.3 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 90% | 5% | 5% | -7.1 | -7.0 | -7.6 | +21.7 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 86% | 4% | 10% | -2.1 | -8.2 | +9.7 | +0.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 77% | 8% | 15% | -9.7 | -30.0 | +60.1 | -20.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 22% | 72% | 6% | -10.0 | +29.8 | -17.3 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 66% | 31% | 3% | 0.0 | -25.2 | +31.6 | -6.4 |