Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/29 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +48.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -3.5 | -3.1 | -1.9 | +8.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 23% | 23% | 33% | +9.3 | -3.8 | -2.3 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 30% | 20% | 22% | 29% | +0.1 | -4.5 | -3.4 | +7.7 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 28% | 18% | 18% | 36% | -0.2 | -0.8 | +27.8 | -26.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 16,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 28% | 16% | 41% | 15% | -2.7 | +52.6 | -49.9 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 64% | 6% | 12% | +0.3 | -2.3 | -0.6 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 62% | 7% | 12% | -18.8 | -12.2 | +48.2 | -17.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 10% | 48% | 33% | 8% | -10.9 | -4.4 | +13.5 | +1.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 5% | 38% | 50% | 8% | +2.3 | -6.7 | +18.8 | -14.4 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 20% | 75% | 3% | -3.1 | -10.6 | +16.2 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 93% | 2% | -14.0 | -3.6 | -5.1 | +22.7 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 1% | 94% | 4% | +22.4 | +5.0 | -4.7 | -22.7 |