Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/29 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +47.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -4.3 | -3.1 | +1.1 | +6.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 24% | 26% | 29% | +10.4 | -5.1 | -4.1 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 29% | 19% | 22% | 30% | +1.2 | -3.6 | -3.4 | +5.8 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 29% | 18% | 19% | 33% | -0.8 | -1.7 | +26.6 | -24.2 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 16,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 29% | 16% | 39% | 17% | -2.8 | +52.5 | -49.6 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 18% | 63% | 7% | 12% | -1.7 | -1.4 | -0.3 | +3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 63% | 6% | 13% | -16.4 | -11.9 | +47.2 | -18.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 11% | 49% | 32% | 8% | -11.1 | -4.6 | +14.6 | +1.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi | 5% | 39% | 49% | 7% | +1.1 | -6.6 | +18.3 | -12.8 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 21% | 74% | 3% | -2.9 | -11.1 | +17.8 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 95% | 1% | -14.0 | -3.2 | -5.5 | +22.7 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 1% | 95% | 3% | +22.4 | +4.7 | -5.4 | -21.6 |