Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/31 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +44.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +30.0 | -9.0 | -10.8 | -10.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 19% | 17% | 16% | -12.6 | -6.4 | +22.7 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 16% | 31% | 16% | -2.7 | -13.4 | +21.4 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 31% | 8% | 49% | 12% | +33.7 | +1.2 | -34.0 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,200 from Jun Murakami | 70% | 6% | 15% | 9% | +9.2 | +0.7 | -8.0 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 82% | 4% | 8% | 5% | +0.2 | -4.1 | +12.5 | -8.6 |
| South 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 18,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 84% | 3% | 10% | 3% | -4.7 | +42.0 | -4.7 | -32.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 73% | 16% | 10% | 0% | +2.9 | -9.4 | -5.2 | +11.7 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 6% | 8% | 1% | -1.6 | +19.0 | -14.5 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 83% | 16% | 0% | 1% | -33.2 | +44.2 | +1.4 | -12.4 |