Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/31 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +43.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +30.8 | -10.2 | -9.9 | -10.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 16% | 17% | 18% | -12.5 | -3.8 | +21.2 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 16% | 31% | 16% | -3.3 | -13.5 | +21.9 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 32% | 7% | 49% | 12% | +34.1 | -0.6 | -33.4 | -0.1 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,200 from Murakami Jun | 70% | 5% | 15% | 10% | +8.5 | +1.3 | -7.8 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 81% | 4% | 8% | 6% | +0.1 | -3.5 | +13.6 | -10.1 |
| South 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 18,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 83% | 3% | 11% | 3% | -3.9 | +42.2 | -7.6 | -30.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 75% | 16% | 9% | 0% | +2.5 | -10.3 | -3.9 | +11.8 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 84% | 6% | 8% | 1% | -3.0 | +20.5 | -14.7 | -2.8 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 81% | 18% | 0% | 1% | -31.8 | +43.5 | +1.6 | -13.3 |