Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/31 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +49.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -7.3 | -2.5 | +10.6 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 19% | 25% | 31% | 25% | -5.2 | +8.9 | -1.5 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 29% | 31% | 23% | -27.2 | -3.0 | -2.4 | +32.5 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 24% | 25% | 47% | -9.8 | -9.9 | +32.5 | -12.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 14% | 54% | 29% | -3.6 | -10.8 | +27.2 | -12.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 5% | 81% | 12% | -4.3 | -5.1 | -10.2 | +19.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 4% | 69% | 26% | -3.9 | +11.7 | +1.2 | -9.0 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 7% | 74% | 18% | -4.1 | -1.9 | +0.8 | +5.2 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 5% | 76% | 19% | -4.8 | +29.5 | -11.1 | -13.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 23% | 61% | 16% | -6.0 | +49.6 | -26.3 | -17.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 83% | 14% | 3% | -1.6 | +0.5 | +1.8 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 81% | 16% | 4% | -1.5 | -7.1 | -8.8 | +17.4 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 79% | 12% | 9% | -0.8 | +11.0 | -5.0 | -5.1 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 94% | 1% | 5% | +7.9 | -4.9 | +5.8 | -8.8 |