Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/31 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +47.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -6.8 | -3.3 | +12.3 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 3,000 | 20% | 23% | 33% | 25% | -6.4 | +10.2 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 30% | 31% | 23% | -26.8 | -2.8 | -0.9 | +30.6 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 23% | 26% | 46% | -9.7 | -12.1 | +31.3 | -9.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 13% | 53% | 31% | -4.7 | -8.8 | +27.5 | -14.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 5% | 81% | 13% | -2.7 | -6.0 | -9.7 | +18.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 4% | 69% | 26% | -4.4 | +11.8 | +0.5 | -7.9 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 7% | 73% | 19% | -4.0 | -2.1 | +0.8 | +5.3 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 5% | 75% | 20% | -5.0 | +31.5 | -11.7 | -14.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 25% | 60% | 15% | -6.2 | +47.4 | -24.4 | -16.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 81% | 15% | 4% | -0.8 | +2.0 | +1.6 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 81% | 16% | 3% | -2.3 | -7.0 | -9.5 | +18.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 79% | 12% | 9% | -0.8 | +11.4 | -6.2 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 95% | 1% | 5% | +8.2 | -5.6 | +6.5 | -9.1 |