Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/1 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -3.5 | +4.0 | -2.0 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 26% | 25% | 27% | -3.3 | +8.8 | -2.7 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 33% | 23% | 24% | -7.2 | -17.5 | -7.8 | +32.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 15% | 18% | 17% | 50% | -3.7 | +0.4 | +2.1 | +1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 13% | 18% | 17% | 52% | +37.0 | -30.2 | -4.3 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100 | 36% | 6% | 12% | 46% | +5.0 | -1.8 | 0.0 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 5% | 12% | 43% | -17.3 | -5.0 | -3.5 | +25.8 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 15% | 2% | 7% | 76% | +7.9 | -3.2 | -6.8 | +2.2 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 3,000 | 16% | 0% | 4% | 80% | -0.5 | -3.2 | +6.0 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 17% | 0% | 5% | 78% | -3.7 | -10.9 | -3.1 | +17.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -1.0 | -0.8 | +2.1 | -0.3 |