Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/1 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -4.8 | +3.7 | +2.6 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 27% | 27% | 24% | -2.1 | +8.5 | -4.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 34% | 23% | 23% | -7.5 | -21.0 | -8.5 | +36.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 17% | 16% | 54% | -1.7 | +2.3 | +3.1 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 14% | 18% | 19% | 49% | +36.3 | -31.0 | -4.4 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100 | 36% | 5% | 13% | 46% | +3.9 | -1.7 | -1.9 | -0.2 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 5% | 11% | 45% | -15.7 | -4.0 | -2.8 | +22.5 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 16% | 3% | 7% | 75% | +8.4 | -4.0 | -7.7 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 0% | 3% | 79% | -3.9 | -3.3 | +8.3 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 0% | 6% | 78% | -2.0 | -10.5 | -3.9 | +16.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -0.6 | -0.8 | +1.7 | -0.2 |