Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/1 Game 2
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+83.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +41.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -4.4 | +7.7 | -1.3 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 22% | 29% | 24% | 25% | +1.5 | -24.6 | -1.2 | +24.2 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 22% | 13% | 22% | 43% | +15.6 | -0.1 | -16.0 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 32% | 12% | 12% | 43% | -11.9 | -9.2 | +41.0 | -19.9 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,600 from Ken Sonoda | 23% | 9% | 43% | 25% | -10.3 | +0.7 | +7.7 | +1.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 9% | 52% | 25% | -1.6 | +6.3 | -3.7 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 15% | 13% | 47% | 26% | -2.2 | -26.6 | -1.6 | +30.4 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 7% | 1% | 37% | 55% | -0.4 | -6.5 | +16.9 | -10.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 5% | 0% | 62% | 33% | -10.7 | +0.3 | +13.8 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,900 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 0% | 78% | 21% | -5.8 | +1.7 | +6.0 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 84% | 16% | -5.8 | -6.9 | +24.4 | -11.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -10.4 | +3.7 | -2.1 | +8.8 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -12.5 | +15.1 | -0.5 | -2.1 |