Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

2/1 Game 2

Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+83.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +40.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance	Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance	Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance	Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance	Sonoda Ken Expected pt change	Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change	Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change	Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change
East 1	Draw	25%	25%	25%	24%	-4.5	+7.6	-2.4	-0.6
East 2, 1 honba	Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	21%	30%	24%	24%	+1.3	-24.1	-2.6	+25.3
East 3	Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato	21%	14%	21%	45%	+15.0	+0.6	-15.8	+0.2
East 4	Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000	31%	14%	10%	45%	-10.9	-9.8	+40.7	-20.1
South 1	Hagiwara Masato ron 1,600 from Sonoda Ken	23%	10%	41%	27%	-9.5	-0.7	+11.0	-0.8
South 2	Draw	14%	9%	54%	23%	-2.4	+6.3	-4.1	+0.2
South 2, 1 honba	Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	14%	12%	49%	26%	-1.0	-27.1	-4.2	+32.3
South 3	Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	8%	1%	36%	56%	-1.4	-4.5	+16.8	-10.9
South 3, 1 honba	Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken	5%	0%	60%	35%	-10.5	+0.1	+15.1	-4.7
South 3, 2 honba	Hagiwara Masato ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken	1%	0%	78%	21%	-5.2	+1.0	+6.1	-1.9
South 3, 3 honba	Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000	0%	0%	85%	15%	-6.8	-6.1	+24.1	-11.2
South 3, 4 honba	Kondo Seiichi ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken	0%	0%	98%	2%	-10.2	+3.1	-1.9	+8.9
South 4	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato	0%	0%	97%	3%	-12.6	+15.3	-0.6	-2.1

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)