Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/4 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+62.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +26.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 1,300 from Asakura Koshin | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -4.8 | -3.7 | +0.3 | +8.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 23% | 25% | 30% | +2.1 | +0.1 | -9.0 | +6.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 7,800 | 23% | 22% | 19% | 36% | -9.7 | +27.0 | -7.0 | -10.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 42% | 16% | 26% | -7.0 | -19.7 | +35.8 | -9.1 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 14% | 25% | 40% | 21% | +26.4 | +2.3 | -27.3 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 27% | 20% | 22% | +15.8 | -3.7 | -1.0 | -11.2 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,700 | 44% | 24% | 19% | 13% | -1.3 | -7.0 | -5.6 | +13.9 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 44% | 20% | 15% | 21% | +25.5 | -2.3 | -18.5 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 1,100 | 77% | 7% | 5% | 11% | +3.7 | +1.2 | -10.1 | +5.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 85% | 3% | 0% | 12% | +2.8 | -5.9 | -1.3 | +4.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Maehara Yudai | 87% | 2% | 0% | 11% | +8.6 | +5.2 | -3.5 | -10.2 |