Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/4 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Draw, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +31.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -25.8 | -1.1 | +1.1 | +25.8 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 22% | 24% | 44% | +24.0 | -16.1 | -5.4 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 23% | 13% | 22% | 42% | +2.2 | +2.7 | -11.7 | +6.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 24% | 14% | 13% | 49% | -5.2 | +4.4 | +3.7 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 16% | 15% | 47% | +3.2 | -5.3 | +5.7 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 3,000 | 23% | 14% | 19% | 43% | +14.3 | -5.2 | -5.2 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 34% | 12% | 15% | 39% | -4.8 | +5.1 | -5.4 | +5.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 28% | 14% | 14% | 44% | +15.7 | -13.4 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 45% | 5% | 10% | 40% | -4.1 | -13.1 | -3.5 | +20.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 27% | 0% | 2% | 71% | +31.6 | -2.9 | +3.6 | -32.3 |