Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/4 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Exhaustive draw, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -26.3 | +0.3 | -0.2 | +26.1 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 23% | 22% | 44% | +23.7 | -15.6 | -4.2 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 23% | 15% | 21% | 42% | +1.5 | -0.3 | -10.6 | +9.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 14% | 13% | 51% | -2.1 | +3.7 | +2.0 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 16% | 15% | 48% | +2.7 | -3.0 | +5.0 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 15% | 18% | 43% | +13.0 | -2.7 | -5.0 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 14% | 15% | 37% | -4.7 | +1.8 | -4.0 | +6.8 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 28% | 14% | 13% | 45% | +15.4 | -13.1 | -2.3 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 45% | 4% | 11% | 40% | -4.7 | -12.7 | -2.6 | +19.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 1% | 2% | 72% | +32.2 | -3.2 | +3.1 | -32.1 |