Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/5 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+62.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 6 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -12.2 | -2.3 | -0.7 | +15.3 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 23% | 23% | 37% | -1.4 | +8.2 | -4.5 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,800 from Hagiwara Masato | 16% | 29% | 21% | 34% | +0.9 | +14.5 | +1.8 | -17.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 18,000 | 17% | 40% | 21% | 22% | -14.3 | +42.8 | -13.5 | -14.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Draw | 5% | 79% | 8% | 8% | +0.5 | -2.4 | -3.4 | +5.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 6% | 79% | 7% | 9% | -3.7 | -0.5 | +7.8 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Draw | 5% | 78% | 9% | 8% | +4.5 | +0.6 | -5.2 | +0.1 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 80% | 6% | 8% | -7.8 | -4.3 | +30.1 | -18.0 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 4% | 76% | 17% | 3% | +9.1 | +0.8 | -8.9 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 6% | 78% | 13% | 3% | -6.7 | +1.1 | +8.7 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 81% | 16% | 2% | +2.0 | +1.4 | 0.0 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 82% | 15% | 2% | -4.2 | -16.7 | +26.8 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 56% | 42% | 2% | +2.9 | +3.8 | -2.8 | -3.9 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 62% | 37% | 1% | +2.6 | -24.9 | +27.9 | -5.6 |