Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/5 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+62.3pt). The game was decided in East 4, 6 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +29.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -8.2 | -4.1 | -2.9 | +15.2 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 23% | 23% | 36% | -3.0 | +7.0 | -2.1 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 5,800 from Masato Hagiwara | 18% | 27% | 21% | 35% | -0.7 | +18.0 | +1.2 | -18.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 42% | 22% | 21% | -13.1 | +39.8 | -14.8 | -11.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 78% | 8% | 9% | +0.2 | -1.1 | -3.1 | +4.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 79% | 7% | 9% | -2.7 | -1.6 | +4.8 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 77% | 9% | 9% | +4.1 | +1.1 | -1.5 | -3.8 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 80% | 7% | 8% | -8.1 | -4.3 | +29.9 | -17.4 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 3% | 76% | 17% | 3% | +10.9 | +0.8 | -10.3 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 79% | 12% | 3% | -6.8 | +0.7 | +8.1 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 82% | 15% | 2% | +2.0 | +1.0 | +2.9 | -5.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 80% | 16% | 2% | -5.9 | -15.3 | +25.1 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 57% | 42% | 1% | +3.0 | +3.4 | -3.1 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 63% | 37% | 1% | +2.7 | -25.1 | +28.4 | -6.0 |