Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/5 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+75.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +45.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Kobayashi Go | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +21.5 | -1.7 | +0.9 | -20.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,800 from Kobayashi Go | 41% | 22% | 23% | 14% | +15.2 | -0.2 | -2.4 | -12.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 55% | 19% | 19% | 7% | -4.5 | +1.8 | +3.2 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 52% | 20% | 21% | 7% | -18.2 | +45.0 | -15.4 | -11.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 57% | 12% | 4% | +1.2 | +1.7 | +0.8 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 28% | 58% | 11% | 3% | -0.5 | -3.3 | +5.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 56% | 13% | 3% | -1.2 | +2.1 | -6.0 | +5.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 27% | 60% | 10% | 3% | -3.1 | -0.9 | -0.3 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 61% | 10% | 5% | -5.5 | +18.7 | -3.4 | -9.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 12% | 82% | 5% | 1% | +2.9 | +2.0 | -2.5 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 13% | 83% | 4% | 1% | -21.2 | +3.0 | +18.7 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Kobayashi Go | 2% | 90% | 7% | 1% | +0.4 | +9.9 | -0.5 | -9.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 95% | 4% | 0% | +23.8 | -8.6 | -12.0 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 5% | 91% | 3% | 0% | -2.7 | +6.5 | -3.1 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -2.9 | -2.7 | -4.6 | +10.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +1.4 | +3.1 | -0.3 | -4.2 |