Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/5 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+75.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 7,700 from Go Kobayashi | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | +19.6 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -18.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,800 from Go Kobayashi | 40% | 22% | 24% | 14% | +17.2 | -0.6 | -1.9 | -14.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 55% | 19% | 20% | 7% | -5.0 | +4.1 | +1.9 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 51% | 22% | 21% | 6% | -18.8 | +43.4 | -16.3 | -8.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 59% | 10% | 4% | +1.1 | +2.6 | +2.1 | -5.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 60% | 12% | 3% | +1.2 | -6.3 | +5.9 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 55% | 14% | 3% | -2.8 | +2.5 | -4.5 | +4.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 61% | 10% | 4% | -0.8 | -1.6 | -1.7 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 59% | 10% | 4% | -7.0 | +20.6 | -3.8 | -9.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 83% | 4% | 1% | +2.5 | +1.8 | -2.8 | -1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 12% | 83% | 4% | 1% | -21.9 | +3.5 | +18.5 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Go Kobayashi | 2% | 91% | 7% | 1% | +1.4 | +9.5 | +0.1 | -10.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 96% | 4% | 0% | +23.6 | -7.9 | -11.8 | -3.9 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 5% | 92% | 3% | 0% | -2.7 | +5.8 | -3.2 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -3.0 | -2.8 | -4.8 | +10.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +1.9 | +3.1 | 0.0 | -4.9 |