Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/7 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+53.0pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +42.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +4.2 | -2.5 | +2.2 | -3.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 23% | 26% | 23% | +22.3 | -6.7 | -6.2 | -9.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 18% | 21% | 15% | -17.5 | -5.6 | +25.8 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Kayamori Sayaka | 29% | 16% | 40% | 15% | -1.4 | +19.3 | -2.3 | -15.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 26% | 38% | 9% | -5.4 | -0.1 | +3.0 | +2.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 24% | 25% | 40% | 11% | +31.3 | -25.7 | -3.9 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 51% | 9% | 33% | 8% | +1.9 | +14.6 | -13.9 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 54% | 16% | 23% | 7% | -14.8 | -17.4 | -17.6 | +49.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 40% | 9% | 15% | 36% | -4.2 | -2.2 | -3.8 | +10.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 34% | 9% | 13% | 45% | -1.0 | +14.5 | -3.7 | -9.8 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 35% | 16% | 12% | 36% | -0.7 | +8.7 | -11.1 | +3.1 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 35% | 20% | 7% | 39% | +28.0 | -26.9 | +1.5 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000 | 67% | 1% | 6% | 26% | -2.2 | -11.1 | +18.9 | -5.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 66% | 1% | 11% | 22% | -20.4 | -7.9 | +42.9 | -14.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 35% | 1% | 50% | 15% | +3.3 | -1.0 | -5.9 | +3.6 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 38% | 0% | 44% | 18% | -13.0 | -0.1 | +27.0 | -13.9 |