Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

2/7 Game 2

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+99.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kazunori Takizawa ron 32,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +63.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Sayaka Kayamori● Ken Sonoda● Hisato Sasaki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kazunori● Sayaka● Ken● Hisato
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSayaka Kayamori
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Sayaka Kayamori
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
East 1Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda26%24%25%25%-5.6-0.4-30.7+36.7
East 2Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori17%20%8%55%-17.1-2.8-1.6+21.5
East 3Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,0006%11%5%78%-5.1+23.9-10.7-8.0
East 4Kazunori Takizawa ron 32,000 from Ken Sonoda5%27%3%66%+0.8+63.0-41.1-22.8
South 1Exhaustive draw1%89%0%11%-3.3-0.5+1.6+2.2
South 2, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,0000%90%0%10%-5.9+22.6-6.5-10.2
South 2, 2 honbaKen Sonoda tsumo 8,0000%99%0%1%-2.5-5.2+9.7-1.9
South 3Hisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda0%99%0%1%+0.3+1.0-3.8+2.5
South 4Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,0000%99%0%1%+8.2-1.4-1.4-5.4

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)