Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/8 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+63.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +21.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +15.0 | -6.3 | -3.1 | -5.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,900 | 34% | 21% | 24% | 22% | +15.0 | -5.7 | -6.7 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Koshin Asakura | 48% | 16% | 17% | 19% | +17.8 | +1.5 | -15.6 | -3.6 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 2,700 | 64% | 14% | 9% | 14% | -4.3 | -3.8 | -3.8 | +12.0 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 7,800 | 60% | 12% | 8% | 20% | -5.8 | +19.6 | -5.6 | -8.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 23% | 8% | 15% | +1.6 | +2.0 | -2.7 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 54% | 24% | 6% | 16% | +5.2 | -4.6 | +12.8 | -13.4 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 19% | 9% | 10% | -7.0 | +22.9 | -11.3 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 52% | 36% | 4% | 8% | -0.3 | -4.3 | +0.2 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 7,800 | 53% | 34% | 4% | 9% | -8.9 | -6.4 | -6.1 | +21.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,700 | 44% | 31% | 4% | 21% | +1.7 | -1.9 | +7.4 | -7.2 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 29% | 6% | 16% | -9.6 | -3.9 | +20.0 | -6.5 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 42% | 29% | 14% | 14% | +14.8 | -9.6 | -2.6 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 61% | 15% | 11% | 13% | +6.8 | +8.6 | -3.7 | -11.7 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 74% | 14% | 4% | 8% | 0.0 | -49.1 | -0.2 | +49.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 72% | 0% | 2% | 26% | +21.5 | -4.2 | +1.6 | -18.9 |