Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/8 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+63.0pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +21.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +13.4 | -3.5 | -6.5 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,900 | 36% | 21% | 21% | 21% | +14.8 | -6.7 | -3.6 | -4.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Asakura Koshin | 48% | 17% | 17% | 18% | +18.8 | -1.3 | -18.0 | +0.5 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,700 | 65% | 12% | 8% | 14% | -5.8 | -1.2 | -0.9 | +7.9 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 7,800 | 60% | 13% | 8% | 19% | -7.4 | +20.2 | -7.2 | -5.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 51% | 25% | 7% | 17% | +5.3 | -0.7 | -1.8 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 57% | 22% | 6% | 15% | +2.6 | -2.6 | +13.9 | -13.9 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 19% | 9% | 9% | -4.4 | +21.0 | -10.9 | -5.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 54% | 35% | 4% | 7% | -2.5 | -2.5 | -0.3 | +5.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 7,800 | 52% | 35% | 4% | 9% | -8.0 | -5.8 | -6.2 | +20.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 2,700 | 45% | 33% | 4% | 19% | +1.6 | -3.1 | +8.0 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 29% | 7% | 15% | -11.2 | -5.4 | +21.0 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 39% | 28% | 17% | 16% | +15.3 | -7.4 | -5.8 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 60% | 17% | 10% | 13% | +7.7 | +7.6 | -2.8 | -12.5 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 74% | 15% | 3% | 8% | -0.8 | -48.6 | -0.1 | +49.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 71% | 1% | 2% | 26% | +21.9 | -4.5 | +1.8 | -19.2 |