Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/8 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -19.9 | +35.8 | -8.1 | -7.8 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 53% | 19% | 17% | -7.0 | -19.7 | -10.0 | +36.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 10% | 31% | 13% | 46% | -1.9 | -2.6 | +1.8 | +2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 8% | 29% | 14% | 49% | -11.7 | -1.5 | +14.9 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,000 | 5% | 28% | 21% | 46% | -3.0 | -2.2 | +7.8 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 4% | 25% | 26% | 45% | +7.9 | +3.5 | -1.5 | -9.9 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 30% | 27% | 36% | +19.8 | -5.3 | -2.5 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 16% | 28% | 27% | 28% | +36.7 | -34.0 | -1.8 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 41% | 9% | 25% | 25% | +10.2 | -8.8 | +0.4 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 51% | 5% | 22% | 21% | +2.4 | +8.1 | -13.4 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 57% | 7% | 13% | 22% | +1.5 | -21.8 | +24.1 | -3.8 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 57% | 0% | 24% | 18% | +16.5 | -1.0 | -16.6 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 84% | 0% | 3% | 13% | -3.0 | -1.5 | +0.3 | +4.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 80% | 0% | 5% | 15% | +10.8 | -0.1 | -10.2 | -0.4 |