Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

2/8 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+59.9pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +37.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Takaharu Ooi● Nobuhiro Ishibashi● Masato Hagiwara● Seiichi Kondo0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Nobuhiro● Masato● Seiichi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Nobuhiro Ishibashi
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Seiichi Kondo
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Nobuhiro Ishibashi
Expected pt change
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Seiichi Kondo
Expected pt change
East 1Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,00026%24%24%26%-19.9+32.0-6.4-5.7
East 2Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,00011%49%19%20%-7.4-17.0-8.4+32.8
East 3Exhaustive draw9%32%15%45%-0.1-2.1+1.0+1.2
East 3, 1 honbaMasato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi9%30%15%46%-12.1-1.1+12.2+1.0
East 3, 2 honbaMasato Hagiwara tsumo 3,0005%28%19%48%-1.7-4.7+9.4-3.1
East 3, 3 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo5%25%25%45%+6.5+5.2-0.5-11.1
East 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,0007%32%26%35%+19.4-3.8-3.8-11.8
South 1Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi15%31%26%28%+37.4-38.1+1.1-0.4
South 1, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi43%8%24%25%+8.9-5.4-3.2-0.3
South 1, 2 honbaNobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara51%6%20%23%+1.7+6.5-10.3+2.2
South 2Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi55%8%15%23%+2.4-21.3+21.9-3.1
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara57%0%23%19%+17.0-1.4-15.70.0
South 4Exhaustive draw84%0%3%13%-3.0-1.4-0.3+4.7
South 4, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Seiichi Kondo80%0%4%16%+10.7-0.2-9.6-0.9

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)