Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/11 Game 1
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -29.8 | +32.4 | -1.3 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 8% | 49% | 21% | 22% | -5.9 | -1.2 | -2.4 | +9.4 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 6% | 47% | 19% | 28% | -16.2 | -5.2 | -2.3 | +23.6 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 3% | 36% | 14% | 47% | -2.3 | -7.7 | +8.2 | +1.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 29% | 19% | 50% | -5.2 | +9.6 | -3.6 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 6,400 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 37% | 14% | 49% | +8.2 | +6.3 | +2.9 | -17.4 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara ron 1,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 53% | 18% | 29% | -0.6 | +13.5 | -12.2 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 77% | 4% | 19% | -2.1 | -5.9 | -1.8 | +9.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 66% | 4% | 30% | -1.3 | +20.3 | -4.1 | -14.9 |