Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/11 Game 1
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+60.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -32.7 | +30.2 | +1.7 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 7% | 48% | 21% | 25% | -2.9 | -0.9 | -2.2 | +6.0 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 7% | 47% | 20% | 27% | -18.2 | -2.6 | -5.0 | +25.8 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 2% | 39% | 12% | 47% | -0.6 | -10.6 | +11.4 | -0.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 2% | 29% | 19% | 50% | -4.8 | +9.0 | -4.5 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 36% | 15% | 49% | +8.2 | +5.9 | +1.4 | -15.5 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai ron 1,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 51% | 17% | 32% | -1.3 | +14.7 | -10.4 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 76% | 4% | 20% | -1.6 | -5.1 | -2.5 | +9.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 66% | 3% | 30% | -1.4 | +20.0 | -4.0 | -14.6 |