Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/11 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+69.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -0.6 | -1.8 | -19.7 | +22.0 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 22% | 22% | 13% | 43% | +2.9 | -0.4 | +20.7 | -23.2 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -32.0 | -0.5 | -3.7 | +36.2 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 8% | 19% | 17% | 56% | -21.0 | -1.5 | -1.4 | +23.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 11% | 9% | 78% | +1.4 | +0.5 | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 10% | 8% | 80% | +3.7 | -5.9 | -1.8 | +4.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 6,400 from Takamiya Mari | 2% | 7% | 7% | 84% | -5.4 | +21.4 | -17.0 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 12% | 3% | 85% | -0.8 | -10.7 | +2.0 | +9.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 2% | 97% | -1.1 | +1.0 | +1.4 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 3% | 96% | -1.9 | -1.6 | +1.9 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 96% | +22.3 | -1.2 | -19.8 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +11.3 | +2.3 | -10.1 | -3.4 |