Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/12 Game 1
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +48.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -6.4 | -19.7 | -1.7 | +27.8 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 13% | 22% | 46% | -9.5 | +30.6 | -8.8 | -12.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 30% | 19% | 36% | -2.4 | +7.2 | -0.2 | -4.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 12% | 37% | 19% | 31% | +36.9 | -34.3 | -4.4 | +1.8 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,100 | 40% | 13% | 15% | 32% | -4.0 | -2.0 | +6.3 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 35% | 13% | 19% | 34% | +13.2 | +0.6 | -1.7 | -12.1 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 3,900 | 49% | 11% | 16% | 23% | -1.3 | -3.1 | -4.6 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 46% | 11% | 13% | 30% | +22.0 | -19.8 | +0.6 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Koshin Asakura | 70% | 3% | 9% | 19% | -1.2 | +11.4 | +1.4 | -11.6 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 73% | 5% | 10% | 12% | +0.5 | -5.5 | +9.6 | -4.7 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 1% | 10% | 10% | +1.7 | +30.6 | -17.9 | -14.4 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 4% | 2% | 8% | -13.4 | -18.4 | -16.8 | +48.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 65% | 3% | 1% | 32% | -14.2 | -2.1 | +0.1 | +16.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 2% | 1% | 64% | -4.9 | -0.7 | -1.6 | +7.3 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 23% | 2% | 0% | 75% | -9.3 | -16.2 | +17.4 | +8.1 |