Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/12 Game 1
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +47.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 23% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -4.8 | -21.0 | -0.1 | +25.8 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 13% | 23% | 46% | -9.5 | +28.9 | -8.8 | -10.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 30% | 19% | 36% | -0.5 | +9.4 | -5.9 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 14% | 37% | 15% | 34% | +34.4 | -36.1 | +1.6 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,100 | 38% | 13% | 17% | 32% | -2.2 | -1.5 | +5.6 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 36% | 13% | 19% | 32% | +13.6 | +0.2 | -1.1 | -12.7 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 3,900 | 49% | 12% | 17% | 22% | -3.1 | -3.1 | -5.5 | +11.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 45% | 11% | 14% | 30% | +22.5 | -18.0 | -1.4 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Asakura Koshin | 69% | 4% | 7% | 20% | +0.1 | +11.3 | +3.1 | -14.5 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 75% | 5% | 10% | 10% | -0.4 | -7.3 | +9.9 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 77% | 1% | 12% | 10% | +1.7 | +30.8 | -18.6 | -13.9 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 85% | 5% | 2% | 8% | -13.1 | -17.4 | -17.0 | +47.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 64% | 3% | 1% | 32% | -12.4 | -2.4 | -0.3 | +15.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 35% | 3% | 1% | 62% | -7.0 | -1.7 | 0.0 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 21% | 1% | 1% | 77% | -8.8 | -15.8 | +16.6 | +7.9 |