Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/12 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +51.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,600 from Go Kobayashi | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -0.1 | +0.8 | -2.5 | +1.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 24% | 23% | 28% | -3.2 | +4.2 | -0.6 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 22% | 28% | 23% | 27% | -10.9 | -1.3 | -5.0 | +17.2 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 25% | 19% | 40% | -9.3 | -10.6 | +33.7 | -13.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 10% | 19% | 43% | 28% | +19.8 | 0.0 | +2.5 | -22.3 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 18% | 48% | 15% | +28.1 | -5.3 | -6.4 | -16.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 14% | 39% | 6% | +1.9 | -7.6 | +2.8 | +2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 10% | 40% | 7% | -27.1 | +49.2 | -12.5 | -9.7 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 48% | 29% | 5% | +35.7 | -16.3 | -12.8 | -6.6 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 57% | 24% | 16% | 3% | +14.4 | -7.8 | -5.8 | -0.9 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 81% | 11% | 6% | 2% | -34.0 | +51.7 | -8.5 | -9.2 |