Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
2/12 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +51.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,600 from Kobayashi Go | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -2.8 | +1.2 | -2.7 | +4.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 22% | 29% | -3.0 | +4.0 | -0.9 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 21% | 29% | 22% | 28% | -10.7 | -1.5 | -3.5 | +15.7 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 26% | 19% | 40% | -9.4 | -10.9 | +34.7 | -14.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 11% | 17% | 45% | 27% | +21.9 | -0.4 | +0.2 | -21.6 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 18% | 46% | 16% | +25.5 | -4.5 | -4.7 | -16.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 40% | 14% | 38% | 7% | +1.8 | -6.8 | +1.9 | +3.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 11% | 40% | 8% | -24.6 | +49.0 | -12.1 | -12.3 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 49% | 28% | 4% | +34.6 | -17.0 | -13.5 | -4.0 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 57% | 25% | 16% | 3% | +12.9 | -8.2 | -4.6 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 79% | 11% | 6% | 4% | -32.7 | +51.9 | -9.1 | -10.2 |