Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/1 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sonoda Ken ron 18,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 24% | 26% | 24% | 27% | +0.3 | -8.9 | +9.0 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 20% | 30% | 25% | -8.6 | -17.1 | -7.4 | +33.1 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 15% | 9% | 23% | 54% | -0.1 | +14.8 | -2.1 | -12.5 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 17% | 22% | 43% | -5.1 | -7.7 | +29.2 | -16.3 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 14% | 12% | 48% | 26% | +54.5 | -13.4 | -21.5 | -19.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 9,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 61% | 6% | 21% | 12% | +20.1 | -19.1 | -2.5 | +1.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 81% | 1% | 12% | 6% | +9.8 | -1.9 | -4.4 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Uotani Yuumi | 90% | 1% | 6% | 3% | +8.1 | -9.5 | +0.5 | +0.8 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 93% | 0% | 5% | 2% | +16.3 | -3.8 | -7.2 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -12.9 | +12.9 | +1.4 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 96% | 0% | 3% | 1% | -0.2 | +3.3 | +0.1 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go | 97% | 0% | 2% | 1% | -2.9 | +5.7 | -1.5 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 96% | 1% | 2% | 1% | -1.7 | -9.4 | +12.8 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 18,000 from Kobayashi Go | 95% | 0% | 3% | 1% | -40.7 | +0.5 | +42.6 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 39% | 0% | 59% | 2% | -1.6 | -4.8 | -3.6 | +10.1 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 39% | 0% | 58% | 3% | -15.8 | 0.0 | +19.0 | -3.2 |