Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/1 Game 2
Nobuhiro Ishibashi finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Nobuhiro Ishibashi's expected points by +41.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -6.9 | +3.1 | -2.7 | +6.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 29% | 23% | 28% | -10.3 | +30.1 | -10.1 | -9.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 13% | 53% | 15% | 19% | -13.9 | -0.9 | +0.7 | +14.1 |
| East 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 8% | 51% | 14% | 27% | -6.1 | +2.1 | -5.3 | +9.3 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,300 from Sayaka Kayamori | 5% | 54% | 9% | 32% | +0.4 | +2.1 | -1.4 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 57% | 9% | 30% | -7.0 | +3.0 | +2.3 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 60% | 8% | 30% | +3.4 | -0.3 | -2.3 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 63% | 8% | 28% | -4.0 | +3.1 | -4.1 | +5.0 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 73% | 1% | 26% | +0.8 | -45.2 | +2.7 | +41.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -5.4 | +7.8 | -0.5 | -1.8 |