Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/1 Game 2
Ishibashi Nobuhiro finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Ishibashi Nobuhiro's expected points by +41.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -7.5 | +6.0 | -2.6 | +4.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 29% | 24% | 27% | -9.2 | +31.6 | -11.6 | -10.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 13% | 55% | 14% | 18% | -14.3 | -2.5 | +0.3 | +16.5 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 6% | 53% | 13% | 27% | -6.4 | +3.0 | -3.9 | +7.2 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 5% | 54% | 9% | 31% | -0.6 | +2.1 | -0.7 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 58% | 9% | 28% | -7.0 | +0.6 | +3.1 | +3.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 59% | 9% | 30% | +5.1 | -0.4 | -2.8 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 63% | 8% | 28% | -4.8 | +4.1 | -4.6 | +5.3 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 72% | 1% | 27% | +2.1 | -45.8 | +1.9 | +41.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -6.7 | +8.2 | +0.2 | -1.7 |