Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/2 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +68.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 1,300 from Sasaki Hisato | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -3.9 | +1.9 | +1.5 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Win | 22% | 26% | 27% | 26% | -2.0 | -6.1 | +1.1 | +7.1 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 3,900 | 19% | 21% | 28% | 32% | -2.0 | -7.1 | +13.0 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 19% | 16% | 38% | 27% | +0.7 | +4.3 | -5.7 | +0.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 19% | 19% | 32% | 30% | +7.4 | -1.8 | -0.6 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 24% | 18% | 32% | 26% | -0.2 | -3.3 | -8.0 | +11.5 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 17% | 26% | 35% | +46.0 | -20.8 | -11.9 | -13.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 73% | 2% | 12% | 14% | +3.0 | -6.0 | -8.2 | +11.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 81% | 0% | 2% | 17% | -40.3 | -5.0 | +68.6 | -23.3 |