Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/2 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +68.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -4.3 | -1.7 | +5.0 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Win | 22% | 24% | 28% | 26% | -1.5 | -4.4 | -1.7 | +7.5 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 3,900 | 22% | 21% | 26% | 32% | -3.0 | -6.2 | +15.6 | -6.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 18% | 17% | 39% | 26% | -0.8 | +4.4 | -4.6 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 19% | 35% | 27% | +9.5 | -2.2 | -3.2 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 24% | 19% | 32% | 24% | -2.8 | -1.7 | -9.3 | +13.8 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 17% | 25% | 36% | +45.6 | -24.2 | -8.5 | -12.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 70% | 2% | 13% | 15% | +5.5 | -4.3 | -10.2 | +9.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 82% | 0% | 2% | 16% | -40.9 | -5.2 | +68.6 | -22.5 |