Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/2 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+75.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -20.4 | +32.8 | -7.5 | -5.0 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 11% | 49% | 20% | 20% | -2.9 | +19.6 | -6.0 | -10.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 68% | 12% | 12% | -7.4 | +22.6 | -8.9 | -6.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 87% | 5% | 5% | -2.6 | -4.0 | +10.0 | -3.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 86% | 7% | 5% | +2.3 | +0.1 | -5.3 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 3% | 87% | 4% | 5% | +12.1 | -2.4 | -3.5 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 89% | 5% | 2% | +28.5 | -10.0 | -9.9 | -8.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 17% | 76% | 4% | 3% | -3.6 | +11.9 | +2.3 | -10.6 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 6% | 91% | 2% | 1% | -15.9 | +1.4 | +17.1 | -2.5 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 96% | 3% | 0% | +2.2 | +5.1 | -3.8 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +10.4 | +0.6 | -6.8 | -4.2 |