Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/2 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+75.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -18.5 | +32.9 | -7.2 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 12% | 51% | 19% | 18% | -5.3 | +18.6 | -5.2 | -8.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 69% | 13% | 10% | -6.0 | +22.0 | -9.3 | -6.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 87% | 5% | 5% | -2.6 | -3.2 | +9.4 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 3% | 87% | 7% | 4% | +2.5 | -0.8 | -3.6 | +1.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 3% | 88% | 5% | 4% | +12.1 | -3.7 | -3.8 | -4.6 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 87% | 5% | 3% | +27.4 | -8.1 | -10.2 | -9.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 16% | 78% | 3% | 2% | -2.1 | +11.3 | 0.0 | -9.2 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 6% | 91% | 2% | 1% | -16.5 | +0.6 | +19.2 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 95% | 4% | 1% | +2.7 | +5.6 | -4.7 | -3.6 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +10.1 | +0.5 | -6.5 | -4.1 |