Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/4 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +5.0 | -1.0 | -0.6 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 25% | 24% | 23% | +32.6 | -12.1 | -10.8 | -9.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 14% | 14% | 16% | -10.8 | +24.0 | -8.5 | -4.7 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 45% | 29% | 12% | 14% | -1.9 | -13.2 | -7.8 | +22.9 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,700 | 43% | 19% | 10% | 27% | +0.3 | +9.5 | -6.0 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 26% | 6% | 24% | -14.2 | -14.9 | -7.7 | +36.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Yudai Maehara | 26% | 14% | 4% | 57% | -1.2 | -17.5 | +2.0 | +16.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 4% | 3% | 75% | +0.3 | +1.0 | -0.7 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 17% | 4% | 3% | 76% | -3.9 | +10.9 | -10.2 | +3.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 7% | 1% | 82% | -3.0 | +3.1 | +1.7 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 11% | 9% | 1% | 79% | -8.6 | -3.8 | -1.5 | +13.8 |
| South 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 1% | 1% | 97% | -9.1 | -10.5 | +24.3 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 3% | 96% | +21.6 | -4.6 | -15.4 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Yudai Maehara | 3% | 0% | 0% | 97% | +7.9 | -21.9 | +14.0 | 0.0 |