Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/4 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +5.3 | -1.8 | +0.8 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 23% | 26% | 23% | +31.9 | -9.7 | -11.7 | -10.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 16% | 16% | 14% | -9.8 | +24.0 | -9.4 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 30% | 12% | 14% | -3.8 | -11.9 | -7.8 | +23.5 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,700 | 43% | 21% | 10% | 27% | +2.4 | +6.9 | -7.5 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 25% | 6% | 25% | -14.2 | -14.8 | -6.7 | +35.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Maehara Yudai | 26% | 13% | 4% | 58% | -1.2 | -15.7 | +1.7 | +15.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 18% | 5% | 3% | 74% | +0.4 | -1.3 | -0.6 | +1.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 17% | 4% | 3% | 77% | -4.3 | +10.8 | -9.4 | +2.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 10% | 5% | 1% | 84% | -1.5 | +3.3 | +0.8 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 11% | 7% | 2% | 80% | -9.8 | -2.8 | -0.9 | +13.5 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 0% | 97% | -8.7 | -10.2 | +23.6 | -4.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | +21.2 | -5.1 | -14.7 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Maehara Yudai | 3% | 0% | 0% | 97% | +8.1 | -21.4 | +13.2 | +0.1 |