Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

10/4 Game 2

Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+80.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +29.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Kobayashi Go● Nikaido Aki● Sasaki Hisato0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Matsumoto● Kobayashi● Nikaido● Sasaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
East 1Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato23%28%25%24%-1.4+18.5+0.8-17.9
East 2Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,00021%40%24%15%-4.5-10.7-4.5+19.7
East 3Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,00018%32%23%27%-8.6-12.2+31.5-10.7
East 3, 1 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 18,00014%21%47%18%-11.3-17.0+41.0-12.8
East 3, 2 honbaDraw4%5%86%5%-4.3+6.4+0.3-2.4
East 4, 3 honbaDraw2%5%89%4%+7.3-1.5-1.2-4.5
South 1, 4 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato4%4%89%3%-9.1+14.8+2.2-8.0
South 2Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,0000%6%93%1%-3.4+11.9-4.8-3.7
South 2, 1 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,0000%11%87%2%-5.1+27.5-15.5-6.8
South 2, 2 honbaDraw0%41%58%1%-0.7+4.3-3.5-0.2
South 2, 3 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato0%48%51%1%+4.7+29.9-15.4-19.1
South 2, 4 honbaKobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki0%84%16%0%+20.9+4.0-23.2-1.6
South 3Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro0%96%3%0%+3.0-0.8-1.8-0.3
South 4Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,200 from Sasaki Hisato0%100%0%0%-3.1+3.8+4.5-5.2

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)