Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/5 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+65.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +30.2 | 0.0 | -29.0 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 46% | 22% | 10% | 22% | -4.0 | -4.5 | +4.2 | +4.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 44% | 18% | 12% | 25% | +3.0 | -24.3 | +21.0 | +0.3 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 47% | 8% | 20% | 26% | -0.9 | -10.2 | +11.9 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 46% | 5% | 27% | 23% | -4.8 | -2.0 | +7.9 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 39% | 4% | 33% | 24% | -1.1 | -14.5 | -5.6 | +21.2 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 35% | 2% | 25% | 38% | +24.4 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -23.4 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 63% | 1% | 21% | 14% | -1.1 | -3.8 | +6.0 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 2,000 | 63% | 1% | 23% | 14% | +10.3 | -4.9 | -2.3 | -3.1 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 78% | 0% | 14% | 8% | +4.0 | +0.3 | -6.2 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 87% | 0% | 4% | 9% | +5.6 | +0.2 | +6.8 | -12.6 |