Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/5 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+65.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 26% | 23% | 28% | 24% | +29.3 | -1.4 | -30.4 | +2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 20% | 10% | 24% | -5.9 | -0.4 | +2.6 | +3.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 42% | 21% | 11% | 26% | +3.5 | -27.3 | +22.8 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 47% | 7% | 20% | 26% | +0.6 | -10.2 | +11.8 | -2.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 45% | 4% | 27% | 23% | -4.5 | -0.5 | +6.0 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 40% | 4% | 32% | 24% | -2.2 | -15.4 | -6.0 | +23.6 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 35% | 2% | 23% | 41% | +24.3 | -0.5 | +1.1 | -24.9 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 63% | 1% | 20% | 16% | +0.3 | -3.8 | +6.2 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 2,000 | 64% | 1% | 23% | 13% | +9.8 | -4.5 | -3.0 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 79% | 0% | 14% | 8% | +4.0 | 0.0 | -5.3 | +1.3 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 88% | 0% | 4% | 8% | +5.0 | +0.4 | +6.7 | -12.1 |