Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/5 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+79.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +42.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -13.1 | -3.6 | +19.9 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 22% | 41% | 22% | +27.6 | -15.2 | -5.4 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 35% | 13% | 35% | 17% | -19.5 | -12.1 | +42.9 | -11.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 11% | 4% | 77% | 8% | +21.6 | -16.0 | -4.5 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,700 | 22% | 1% | 71% | 6% | -3.9 | -2.0 | +8.9 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 1% | 82% | 3% | -4.4 | -0.9 | +7.2 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 5% | 1% | 92% | 2% | +2.2 | -5.4 | +1.5 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 95% | 2% | -4.2 | -5.5 | -5.7 | +15.5 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 1% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -28.0 | 0.0 | -4.8 | +32.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 86% | 14% | -3.2 | -2.9 | +18.5 | -12.4 |