Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/5 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+79.7pt). The game was decided in East 3: Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +43.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -13.4 | -7.0 | +23.9 | -3.5 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 19% | 41% | 23% | +25.5 | -12.1 | -7.6 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 33% | 12% | 36% | 19% | -17.0 | -13.1 | +43.8 | -13.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 11% | 4% | 78% | 7% | +19.3 | -15.0 | -3.6 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 21% | 2% | 71% | 6% | -2.2 | -1.2 | +7.8 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 15% | 1% | 82% | 2% | -5.6 | -2.1 | +7.4 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma | 6% | 1% | 92% | 2% | +2.7 | -5.2 | +1.5 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 0% | 95% | 1% | -3.8 | -5.3 | -5.9 | +15.0 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 1% | 0% | 96% | 3% | -28.7 | +0.1 | -4.1 | +32.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 87% | 13% | -3.0 | -2.9 | +17.7 | -11.8 |