Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/8 Game 2
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +38.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -8.3 | +17.7 | -0.5 | -9.0 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 18% | 38% | 23% | 21% | +1.9 | -13.2 | +12.5 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 28% | 34% | 18% | -10.4 | +38.5 | -19.0 | -9.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 11% | 65% | 14% | 10% | -1.8 | +9.2 | -3.2 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 8% | 77% | 9% | 6% | -24.0 | -0.1 | +23.9 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 6,400 from Maehara Yudai | 1% | 76% | 18% | 5% | +0.2 | -19.1 | +22.5 | -3.6 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Kobayashi Go | 1% | 47% | 48% | 4% | +4.1 | +8.3 | -10.4 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 66% | 30% | 4% | +13.3 | +14.8 | -10.2 | -18.0 |