Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/8 Game 2
Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +39.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -4.8 | +21.8 | -4.4 | -12.6 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 19% | 42% | 22% | 17% | +2.5 | -19.8 | +17.4 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 24% | 35% | 19% | -10.6 | +39.5 | -21.6 | -7.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 62% | 14% | 11% | -3.7 | +10.7 | -1.0 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 8% | 75% | 11% | 6% | -23.6 | +0.7 | +20.9 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 6,400 from Yudai Maehara | 1% | 75% | 18% | 6% | -0.5 | -19.5 | +23.7 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 46% | 49% | 5% | +5.0 | +8.6 | -9.9 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 64% | 31% | 5% | +12.7 | +15.4 | -10.6 | -17.5 |