Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/9 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+71.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -10.4 | +20.5 | -4.8 | -5.2 |
| East 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 40% | 20% | 22% | +20.3 | -9.4 | -6.0 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,000 | 31% | 30% | 19% | 21% | -0.6 | -5.4 | +8.1 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 27% | 23% | 19% | -1.5 | +4.0 | +3.5 | -6.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Sayaka Kayamori | 29% | 31% | 24% | 17% | +1.4 | -7.0 | +24.6 | -19.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 7,700 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 28% | 22% | 44% | 7% | -25.1 | +0.3 | +21.8 | +3.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 17% | 65% | 7% | -5.5 | -6.8 | -8.7 | +21.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 17% | 59% | 14% | +6.7 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 17% | 59% | 11% | -13.0 | -5.3 | +22.6 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 1% | 7% | 87% | 5% | -6.8 | -0.2 | +6.6 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -0.8 | -1.6 | +2.7 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +4.5 | -1.6 | -0.4 | -2.5 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +9.9 | +12.5 | +1.2 | -23.6 |