Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/9 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+71.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 7,700 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +22.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -11.7 | +20.3 | -5.3 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 39% | 21% | 22% | +19.9 | -10.3 | -4.6 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,000 | 31% | 29% | 20% | 20% | -0.5 | -5.2 | +8.9 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 26% | 24% | 19% | -0.8 | +1.8 | +3.4 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Kayamori Sayaka | 29% | 28% | 26% | 18% | -0.7 | -4.0 | +21.6 | -16.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 7,700 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 28% | 22% | 42% | 8% | -22.0 | -0.6 | +22.5 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 18% | 64% | 7% | -8.6 | -3.4 | -8.4 | +20.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 18% | 58% | 14% | +7.4 | -3.0 | +1.6 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 16% | 62% | 11% | -12.5 | -5.1 | +21.3 | -3.7 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 1% | 7% | 87% | 5% | -7.5 | -0.8 | +7.5 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -0.7 | -0.1 | +2.1 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +5.2 | -2.2 | -0.4 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +9.6 | +12.1 | +1.1 | -22.8 |