Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/9 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+68.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 23% | 27% | 26% | 24% | +22.8 | -9.8 | -7.5 | -5.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 3,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 40% | 19% | 20% | 21% | -3.8 | +2.6 | -8.9 | +10.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 20% | 15% | 27% | +0.5 | -5.9 | +3.3 | +2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 38% | 16% | 18% | 28% | +31.1 | -3.6 | -24.8 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 69% | 9% | 4% | 19% | +17.1 | +2.0 | +1.2 | -20.3 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 88% | 5% | 3% | 4% | +3.8 | +0.3 | -5.3 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,500 | 91% | 4% | 2% | 4% | +2.0 | -1.0 | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Sayaka Kayamori | 92% | 4% | 2% | 3% | +10.0 | -15.4 | +2.4 | +3.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 96% | 1% | 1% | 2% | +5.2 | +0.3 | -6.1 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 97% | 1% | 0% | 2% | -7.7 | -2.4 | -2.5 | +12.6 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 96% | 1% | 0% | 3% | -5.6 | +26.0 | -8.6 | -11.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 94% | 3% | 1% | 2% | +1.4 | -3.6 | +2.7 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 97% | 0% | 1% | 2% | -0.4 | -7.0 | -14.2 | +21.6 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 96% | 0% | 0% | 4% | -7.5 | -6.7 | -3.7 | +17.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 0% | 0% | 13% | -2.4 | -0.7 | -1.1 | +4.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 83% | 0% | 0% | 17% | -5.6 | +1.3 | +1.2 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 76% | 0% | 0% | 24% | +9.1 | +6.8 | +0.3 | -16.2 |