Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/9 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+68.1pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +29.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +19.1 | -7.1 | -5.8 | -6.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 3,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 40% | 19% | 20% | 22% | -2.6 | +1.3 | -8.3 | +9.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 38% | 20% | 15% | 27% | +1.1 | -6.2 | +3.5 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 38% | 16% | 18% | 29% | +29.5 | -3.1 | -25.7 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 67% | 8% | 5% | 20% | +16.4 | +2.6 | +0.8 | -19.9 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 87% | 5% | 2% | 6% | +5.6 | +0.1 | -5.1 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,500 | 91% | 4% | 1% | 4% | +1.7 | -1.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Kayamori Sayaka | 92% | 3% | 1% | 4% | +10.0 | -14.3 | +3.7 | +0.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 97% | 1% | 1% | 2% | +4.4 | -0.3 | -6.3 | +2.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -8.5 | -1.8 | -3.5 | +13.8 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 95% | 1% | 1% | 4% | -3.6 | +24.1 | -8.1 | -12.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 94% | 3% | 1% | 3% | +1.4 | -1.9 | +2.5 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -0.8 | -6.7 | -14.0 | +21.6 |
| South 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | -8.4 | -6.7 | -4.1 | +19.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 86% | 0% | 0% | 14% | -2.0 | -1.1 | -0.6 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 83% | 0% | 0% | 17% | -4.5 | +1.1 | +1.3 | +2.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 78% | 0% | 0% | 22% | +8.1 | +7.1 | 0.0 | -15.2 |