Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/11 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+75.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Murakami Jun | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -11.2 | +1.5 | +1.7 | +8.0 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 26% | 25% | 32% | +16.0 | -9.2 | -7.1 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 28% | 19% | 21% | 32% | -5.0 | -1.5 | +8.4 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 24% | 18% | 27% | 31% | -34.8 | +2.2 | +34.4 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 5% | 16% | 54% | 25% | -0.4 | -11.2 | +11.4 | +0.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 9% | 67% | 21% | +21.5 | -7.1 | -8.2 | -6.2 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 12% | 7% | 60% | 20% | -5.1 | -0.7 | +10.2 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 8% | 6% | 74% | 13% | +0.2 | +3.7 | +22.6 | -26.5 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 3,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 1% | 2% | 96% | 2% | +10.4 | -11.0 | +1.8 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -1.4 | -1.0 | +3.2 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +2.9 | -4.4 | -3.7 | +5.1 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun ron 6,400 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +13.4 | +11.4 | +1.2 | -26.0 |