Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/11 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+75.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -14.4 | +2.1 | +1.2 | +11.1 |
| East 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 26% | 25% | 33% | +17.6 | -11.0 | -2.8 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami | 28% | 18% | 23% | 31% | -7.6 | -0.1 | +6.4 | +1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 22% | 18% | 28% | 32% | -34.0 | +1.3 | +34.9 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 5% | 14% | 56% | 25% | +1.5 | -11.5 | +9.6 | +0.4 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 9% | 65% | 22% | +19.7 | -6.1 | -7.0 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 11% | 8% | 61% | 20% | -5.2 | -0.1 | +9.3 | -4.0 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 8% | 6% | 73% | 13% | +1.3 | +3.5 | +22.8 | -27.5 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami ron 3,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 2% | 96% | 1% | +10.9 | -11.3 | +2.1 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -2.4 | -0.9 | +3.0 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +2.9 | -5.0 | -3.7 | +5.8 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami ron 6,400 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +13.7 | +11.6 | +1.0 | -26.3 |