Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/11 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Seiichi Kondo ron 9,600 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -19.1 | +36.5 | -10.2 | -7.3 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 54% | 17% | 17% | -10.1 | +26.4 | -8.9 | -7.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 5% | 78% | 9% | 8% | 0.0 | +0.9 | -4.5 | +3.7 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 4% | 81% | 6% | 9% | -14.8 | -2.6 | +15.5 | +1.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 4,800 from Aki Nikaido | 3% | 77% | 10% | 11% | -1.2 | -9.6 | +15.7 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 3% | 67% | 20% | 10% | -1.0 | +8.9 | -7.9 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 2% | 78% | 11% | 9% | -6.1 | +7.8 | -1.7 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 88% | 7% | 5% | -11.2 | -7.5 | +25.8 | -7.2 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 76% | 21% | 3% | -3.2 | -0.9 | +3.7 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 9,600 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 76% | 22% | 2% | -1.3 | -36.3 | +36.9 | +0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 12% | 85% | 3% | +1.5 | -2.7 | +0.1 | +1.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 7% | 91% | 2% | -6.4 | -22.6 | -12.0 | +41.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 77% | 19% | +9.0 | -7.1 | +8.1 | -9.9 |