Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
10/11 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kondo Seiichi ron 9,600 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -17.4 | +34.6 | -9.3 | -7.9 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 53% | 16% | 19% | -10.4 | +25.1 | -8.0 | -6.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 5% | 76% | 8% | 11% | -0.9 | +2.7 | -5.4 | +3.6 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 5% | 81% | 6% | 9% | -14.5 | -2.6 | +15.7 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 4,800 from Nikaido Aki | 2% | 77% | 10% | 11% | -1.7 | -9.2 | +14.3 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 3% | 66% | 19% | 12% | -0.1 | +8.7 | -7.0 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 2% | 79% | 11% | 8% | -7.8 | +7.1 | +1.4 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 86% | 9% | 4% | -11.1 | -7.7 | +24.8 | -6.0 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 74% | 23% | 3% | -2.6 | -0.1 | +2.6 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 9,600 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 77% | 21% | 2% | -0.9 | -36.0 | +37.0 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 13% | 84% | 2% | +1.3 | -3.2 | +0.9 | +1.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 6% | 92% | 2% | -6.4 | -22.2 | -12.6 | +41.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 4% | 78% | 18% | +8.8 | -7.4 | +7.7 | -9.1 |