Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

10/12 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +26.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Yudai Maehara● Sho Shiratori● Koshin Asakura0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● Yudai● Sho● Koshin
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultYudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw24%25%25%26%+2.4+5.3-2.9-4.9
East 1, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara26%28%23%22%-13.3-5.0-0.4+18.7
East 2Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Koshin Asakura18%24%23%36%-0.5-1.0-5.7+7.2
East 3Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,00016%22%19%43%-7.4-11.9+30.0-10.6
East 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw13%14%40%33%+1.4-1.2-2.9+2.6
East 4, 2 honbaKoshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa13%14%38%34%-1.7-2.2+10.6-6.7
South 1Exhaustive draw12%13%48%27%-7.3+2.8+8.6-4.1
South 2, 1 honbaSho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Yudai Maehara5%12%60%22%-16.6+19.7-2.6-0.5
South 2, 2 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara2%22%55%21%-14.3-7.9-4.3+26.5
South 3Yudai Maehara tsumo 5,2000%13%44%43%+5.2-4.8-5.0+4.6
South 4Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori0%9%38%53%+0.9-9.5-7.5+16.1
South 4, 1 honbaYudai Maehara tsumo 4,0000%2%18%80%+2.9-2.4-5.9+5.4

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)